Charting the Lessons of History
I was in New York last week to visit clients, also for interviews for Bloomberg as well as thestreet.com. I’ve stayed downtown on the last couple trips, partly for convenience and also just to take in the history of the city.
On Stocks and Seasonality
I'm often asked about market cycles and how I incorporate something like seasonality into my process. The short answer is I bucket them under "interesting, but not vital." Here's the somewhat longer answer...
Sector Alert: Communication Services About To Get Sexier
At the end of September, the Telecom Services Sector will cease to exist, and the new Communication Services sector will be born. I created this post following a morning of Googling to try and gather the best information out there. Let's review what is happening, how it will affect existing sectors, and how investors should think about this change.
Ten Timely Quotes from Seattle
I just got back from a fantastic trip to Seattle for the stockcharts.com ChartCon 2018. It was a pleasure to reconnect many whom I consider mentors in my own career. Also great to meet others with a passion for technical analysis and data visualization. As with any productive conference, I took copious notes and have enjoyed revisiting some of the insights that I picked up during the two-day event.
Can't Stop Using Stops
I'm out in Seattle this week to speak at the stockcharts.com ChartCon 2018. Excited to be a part of a conference that features many speakers that I consider mentors, including Greg Morris, Martin Pring, and Tom McClellan. So far we've heard from Greg Schell, Dr. Alexander Elder, and Bruce Fraser. What struck me is that all three of them have discussed the importance of using stops.
Beyond Behavioral Biases
It's so easy to reduce Behavioral Finance to a bottomless list of biases. As with many aspects of the financial industry, we get way too focused on labeling things instead of understanding them. A recent article from Behavioral Scientist pointed out the limitations of defining Behavioral Economics (which I tend to use interchangeably with "Behavioral Finance" because as far as I'm concerned they're the same thing) as a series of fallacies.
Three Charts That Make Me Cautious
Predicting the future direction of the markets is 1) really difficult, 2) never about certainties, and 3) all about probabilities. Because of those three truths, I like to focus on price itself. As legendary technical analyst and mentor Ralph Acampora once said, "The only thing you can't restate is price." Three charts in my daily routine have started to turn from bullish to bearish, suggesting caution in the coming weeks and months.
Charting Change with Course Corrections
Slowly but surely chipping away at my Pocket queue, I came across an article entitled "If You're Too Busy for These 5 Things, Your Life is More Off Course Than You Think." An article combining mindfulness with aviation was pretty much custom written for me!
Mighty Momentum and Breaking Banks
Two themes stand out as I review the charts this week. First, the leadership of the supersized MANIA names that seem to dwarf everything else. Second, charts in the Financials sector that have been notable underperformers over the last six weeks. Let's review both of themes and let the charts tell the story.
The Changing Face of Communication
Two recent articles caused me to think about how social media has affected communication. More importantly, I've thought about how I can best use social media along with other modes of communication to grow personally and professionally.
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“Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”