Books David Keller Books David Keller

Four Recommended Reads for the Fourth

In honor of Independence Day, I wanted to share four books that bring key periods in American history to light.  This is by no means a "top four" list, as many books arguably deserve a spot.  This is simply a list of books I've read recently that are worthy of your attention.

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Macro, Stocks David Keller Macro, Stocks David Keller

Bull Market MANIA: Tracking the True Leadership

I regularly scroll through all the charts in the S&P 500 as part of my research process.  Technical analysts that I respect a great deal convinced me of the value of this routine, which tends to increase your market awareness and decrease your vulnerability to market movements.

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Behavioral, Macro David Keller Behavioral, Macro David Keller

Now Presenting the Bear Case

A respected former colleague of mine absolutely loved to play devil's advocate.  Whatever investment thesis was posed, he would always take the other side of the argument. Over time, I began to understand and respect this approach.  Sometimes his challenge would expose behavioral biases such as confirmation bias or the endowment effect, leading us to reconsider our outlook and positioning.

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Macro David Keller Macro David Keller

Dealing With Dollar Strength

About five weeks ago, I wrote an article for stockcharts.com regarding the US Dollar breaking out to the upside.  Based on previous resistance and Fibonacci retracement levels, we reviewed upside price objectives for the Bullish Dollar ETF ($UUP).

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Behavioral, Macro David Keller Behavioral, Macro David Keller

Time To Sell In May Yet?

I've been chipping away at articles I've stored in my Pocket and just made it through a series of pieces on the "Sell in May" phenomenon. If you're not familiar, the proclamation "Sell in May and Go Away" speaks to the perceived seasonal trend where the US stock market tends to be weaker in the summer to fall period than the winter to spring period.

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Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.
— George Santayana