On the Mercury Space Program and Active Management
I’m down in Orlando for FinCon 2018 which is a gathering of personal finance writers, bloggers, Youtubers, and everyone that helps them provide great content for individuals. A little out of my comfort zone but I’m quickly realizing that people here understand marketing, social media, and audio/video production way better than I do.
Charting the Lessons of History
I was in New York last week to visit clients, also for interviews for Bloomberg as well as thestreet.com. I’ve stayed downtown on the last couple trips, partly for convenience and also just to take in the history of the city.
Ten Timely Quotes from Seattle
I just got back from a fantastic trip to Seattle for the stockcharts.com ChartCon 2018. It was a pleasure to reconnect many whom I consider mentors in my own career. Also great to meet others with a passion for technical analysis and data visualization. As with any productive conference, I took copious notes and have enjoyed revisiting some of the insights that I picked up during the two-day event.
Can't Stop Using Stops
I'm out in Seattle this week to speak at the stockcharts.com ChartCon 2018. Excited to be a part of a conference that features many speakers that I consider mentors, including Greg Morris, Martin Pring, and Tom McClellan. So far we've heard from Greg Schell, Dr. Alexander Elder, and Bruce Fraser. What struck me is that all three of them have discussed the importance of using stops.
Beyond Behavioral Biases
It's so easy to reduce Behavioral Finance to a bottomless list of biases. As with many aspects of the financial industry, we get way too focused on labeling things instead of understanding them. A recent article from Behavioral Scientist pointed out the limitations of defining Behavioral Economics (which I tend to use interchangeably with "Behavioral Finance" because as far as I'm concerned they're the same thing) as a series of fallacies.
Three Charts That Make Me Cautious
Predicting the future direction of the markets is 1) really difficult, 2) never about certainties, and 3) all about probabilities. Because of those three truths, I like to focus on price itself. As legendary technical analyst and mentor Ralph Acampora once said, "The only thing you can't restate is price." Three charts in my daily routine have started to turn from bullish to bearish, suggesting caution in the coming weeks and months.
Charting Change with Course Corrections
Slowly but surely chipping away at my Pocket queue, I came across an article entitled "If You're Too Busy for These 5 Things, Your Life is More Off Course Than You Think." An article combining mindfulness with aviation was pretty much custom written for me!
Caught Off Guard by the Bear
At a recent meeting of the Northern Ohio Chapter of the CMT Association, we had a roundtable discussion where each attendee shared a best idea. One of the junior members of the gathering gave a rather dire outlook for stocks, followed by the remark, "I've never traded a bear market before."
Stall Speed and the S&P (2018 Edition)
Any time I read about a market "stalling" or reaching "stall speed" my palms start to sweat. They are literally sweating right now. Let me share why I'm uncomfortable, then I'll explain why stalls are often an ideal representation of the markets.
Behold the Power of Data Visualization
The story goes* that in the mid-1800's in London there was an outbreak of cholera. Doctors were faced with an epidemic with people dying off in droves. They needed to get to the bottom of things, and fast.
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“Those who can not remember the past are condemned to repeat it.”